Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.003547 0.003876 0.004228 0.004633 0.005088 0.005583 0.006166
2025-11-30 0.003018 0.003485 0.004020 0.004683 0.005486 0.006436 0.007656
2025-12-07 0.002759 0.003308 0.003967 0.004825 0.005926 0.007310 0.009209
2025-12-14 0.002486 0.003065 0.003785 0.004761 0.006069 0.007794 0.010296
2025-12-21 0.002257 0.002847 0.003603 0.004660 0.006132 0.008154 0.011231
2025-12-28 0.002088 0.002688 0.003476 0.004611 0.006245 0.008578 0.012290
2026-01-04 0.001974 0.002589 0.003417 0.004642 0.006465 0.009166 0.013656
2026-01-11 0.001846 0.002459 0.003302 0.004581 0.006536 0.009529 0.014706
2026-01-18 0.001740 0.002352 0.003210 0.004541 0.006629 0.009927 0.015856
2026-01-25 0.001642 0.002248 0.003114 0.004483 0.006686 0.010266 0.016939
2026-02-01 0.001572 0.002181 0.003066 0.004494 0.006849 0.010793 0.018426
2026-02-08 0.001492 0.002094 0.002980 0.004438 0.006895 0.011120 0.019578
2026-02-15 0.001404 0.001992 0.002872 0.004345 0.006883 0.011365 0.020659
2026-02-22 0.001354 0.001947 0.002849 0.004390 0.007116 0.012086 0.022840
2026-03-01 0.001328 0.001936 0.002877 0.004521 0.007512 0.013160 0.025965
2026-03-08 0.001264 0.001861 0.002798 0.004462 0.007553 0.013547 0.027637
2026-03-15 0.001198 0.001780 0.002704 0.004369 0.007521 0.013781 0.028990
2026-03-22 0.001147 0.001719 0.002640 0.004324 0.007575 0.014196 0.030862
2026-03-29 0.001113 0.001685 0.002618 0.004353 0.007776 0.014948 0.033736
2026-04-05 0.001066 0.001627 0.002552 0.004297 0.007799 0.015311 0.035664
2026-04-12 0.001026 0.001578 0.002499 0.004259 0.007857 0.015760 0.037925
2026-04-19 0.000986 0.001528 0.002440 0.004206 0.007876 0.016121 0.040013
2026-04-26 0.000958 0.001497 0.002414 0.004216 0.008032 0.016823 0.043284